PseudoGod Opening 64 Keys (Results!)

Total Cost: 256,000 (at 4k per key)
Reward in meebles: 132,500
Reward in gear: 25000 + unknown value of all tools (I sold the fly key for 25k)

NOTES

• I seemed to have gotten some bad luck when it comes to disguise notes (I believe I went slightly above average in terms of the amount of notes you would expect from 64)
• I got as many 5k rewards as 10k rewards, but the amount of 2.5k notes was significantly higher than 5k notes despite them having the same reported rate on the crate
• With sample size 64, it appears as though you would not usually expect any of the most rare items, but I did get 2 Type X tools, which is unusual.

CONCLUSION
Overall, voting keys are not worth a bit over 2.3-2.5k according to my sample. Anyone paying more for them is risking their luck because they aren't likely to score much above this, sans getting a 50k or perhaps a 100k note as well as an endermite spawner, which I still can't confirm the real drop rate.

Also, there's a good chance the wheel is a visual animation rather than a practical one; I saw a lot more of the rarest items than would have been placed on the wheel if the odds were taken into consideration. The crate may even have predetermined the item you got before the roll and then the animation is just to give the illusion of luck. I don't know.

Have a good day, meep.

 

If you factor in the value of the other items I would estimate you key value (based off your results) is somewhere more like 2.5k to 3k (which is an estimated 25%-38% loss). Considering 40% of your prizes are worthless disguise notes you did pretty well actually.

--- Double Post Merged, Feb 18, 2018, Original Post Date: Feb 17, 2018 ---

I posted some results of my own i did earlier today. The Opening of 176 Vote Keys (Results)